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Fog Blog Canada Votes Monday Log:

THE TORIES HAVE A SLIGHT LEAD IN THE POLES BUT IT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH , WHEN CANADA GOES TO THE POLES IN ONE OF THE CLOSET RACES IN RECENT HISTORY!The latest polling from Ipsos shows that ahead of Monday’s federal vote, the Conservatives have a slight advantage over the Liberals, but neither party is poised for a majority.The poll, conducted between Oct. 17 and 19, found that if an election were held tomorrow, 33 per cent of decided voters said they would choose the Tories, while the Liberals have captured 31 per cent of support. The difference is within the poll’s credibility interval of plus or minus two percentage points.As Ipsos CEO Darrell Bricker explains, the advantage the Conservatives have in the popular vote may not be enough to best the incumbent Liberals.“The Tories have a less efficient vote than the Liberals have,” he said. “What that means is that the Liberals, because of where their votes are placed across the country, tend to get more seats for the number of votes they have.”

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